IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.1	#330
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.7	#81
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.8	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.3	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	12.0	15.4

.500 or above	0.7%	3.7%	0.5%
.500 or above in Conference	1.2%	3.4%	1.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	65.3%	50.8%	66.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 6	0 - 11
Quad 3	1 - 9	2 - 20
Quad 4	3 - 5	5 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	148	@ Hofstra	L	69-84	8%
Nov 10, 2019	285	Portland	L	72-73	46%
Nov 14, 2019	31	@ Arizona	L	60-86	1%
Nov 20, 2019	269	Grambling St.	L	74-76	42%
Nov 23, 2019	270	Portland St.	L	76-78	43%
Nov 27, 2019	74	Oregon St.	L	63-81	6%
Dec 01, 2019	82	@ UCLA	L	71-91	3%
Dec 04, 2019	34	Utah St.	L	65-85	5%
Dec 08, 2019	77	@ San Diego St.	L	61-82	4%
Dec 14, 2019	113	Stanford	L	68-80	16%
Dec 18, 2019	128	@ Santa Clara	L	63-79	9%
Dec 22, 2019	296	UC Riverside	L	68-69	49%
Dec 28, 2019	117	Pepperdine	L	73-84	16%
Jan 01, 2020	92	New Mexico	L	76-89	14%
Jan 04, 2020	118	@ Fresno St.	L	64-81	7%
Jan 08, 2020	95	Nevada	L	69-82	14%
Jan 11, 2020	179	Colorado St.	L	71-78	29%
Jan 15, 2020	146	@ UNLV	L	66-81	10%
Jan 21, 2020	92	@ New Mexico	L	73-92	6%
Jan 25, 2020	170	Air Force	L	68-76	26%
Jan 29, 2020	90	@ Boise St.	L	62-81	5%
Feb 01, 2020	275	Wyoming	L	72-74	44%
Feb 08, 2020	95	@ Nevada	L	66-85	6%
Feb 12, 2020	118	Fresno St.	L	67-78	18%
Feb 15, 2020	170	@ Air Force	L	65-79	13%
Feb 19, 2020	90	Boise St.	L	65-78	14%
Feb 22, 2020	179	@ Colorado St.	L	68-81	15%
Feb 25, 2020	34	@ Utah St.	L	62-88	2%
Feb 29, 2020	146	UNLV	L	69-78	23%
Projected Record						5 - 24	3 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st																0.0					0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0								0.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.0										1.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0										2.2	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	1.2	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0											4.4	8th
9th			0.2	1.7	4.0	3.3	1.6	0.2	0.0												11.0	9th
10th		3.0	8.2	9.3	5.7	1.9	0.2	0.0													28.3	10th
11th	13.8	18.7	12.9	5.2	1.4	0.2	0.0														52.1	11th

Total	13.8	21.6	21.3	16.3	11.5	6.7	4.3	2.1	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-4	0.0%
13-5	0.0%
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%																							0.0
14-4	0.0%																							0.0
13-5	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
12-6	0.0%		1.2%	1.2%		13.0														0.0				0.0
11-7	0.1%		6.9%	6.9%		14.9														0.0		0.0		0.1
10-8	0.3%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0																0.0		0.3
9-9	0.7%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0														0.0		0.0		0.7
8-10	1.2%																							1.2
7-11	2.1%																							2.1
6-12	4.3%		0.3%	0.3%		15.5																0.0	0.0	4.3
5-13	6.7%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		6.7
4-14	11.5%																							11.5
3-15	16.3%																							16.3
2-16	21.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	21.3
1-17	21.6%																							21.6
0-18	13.8%																							13.8

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.3												0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	2.6%